Graham Number Calculator: How to Find Undervalued Stocks (Free Tool)
title: "Graham Number Calculator: How to Find Undervalued Stocks (Free Tool)" description: "Complete guide to the Graham Number formula with step-by-step calculations, worked examples on 5 real stocks, and a free calculator tool. Find undervalued st..." date: "2026-03-05" category: "Value Investing" author: "Poor Man's Stocks" image: "/images/blog/graham-number-calculator-how-to-find-undervalued-stocks.jpg"
Last updated: March 5, 2026
The Graham Number is the most elegant stock valuation formula ever created. In one calculation, it tells you whether a stock is undervalued, fairly valued, or overpriced based on Benjamin Graham's 60+ years of value investing wisdom.
This is the definitive guide to understanding, calculating, and using the Graham Number to find undervalued stocks. We'll walk through the formula step-by-step, calculate real examples with current stock data, and give you a free tool to do the math instantly.
No theory. Just practical value investing.
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What Is the Graham Number?
The Graham Number estimates a stock's intrinsic value using just two fundamental metrics: earnings per share (EPS) and book value per share (BVPS). It represents the maximum price Benjamin Graham would pay for a stock.
The Graham Number Formula
Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร EPS ร Book Value Per Share)
Where:
- 22.5 = Graham's "magic number" (15 ร 1.5)
- 15 = Maximum P/E ratio Graham considered reasonable
- 1.5 = Maximum P/B ratio Graham considered reasonable
- EPS = Trailing twelve-month earnings per share
- Book Value Per Share = (Total Assets - Total Liabilities) รท Shares Outstanding
The Investment Rule
Graham's Rule: Never pay more than the Graham Number. Ideally, buy at a 20-30% discount for a proper margin of safety.
Margin of Safety = (Graham Number - Current Price) รท Graham Number ร 100%
If the margin is positive, the stock is undervalued. The higher the percentage, the bigger the potential opportunity.
Free Graham Number Calculator
โ Use Our Free Graham Number Calculator
Simply enter a stock ticker, and our calculator automatically pulls the latest financial data to compute:
- Current Graham Number
- Margin of Safety percentage
- Buy/Hold/Sell recommendation
- Historical Graham Numbers for trend analysis
Calculator powered by real-time financial data APIs
Breaking Down the Formula: Why 22.5?
Graham's Original Criteria
Benjamin Graham's defensive investor criteria included:
- P/E Ratio โค 15 โ Don't overpay for earnings
- P/B Ratio โค 1.5 โ Don't pay too much over book value
- P/E ร P/B โค 22.5 โ Combined valuation limit
The Graham Number formula elegantly combines criteria #1 and #2 into a single intrinsic value estimate.
The Math Behind 22.5
P/E ร P/B = (Price/EPS) ร (Price/Book Value) = Priceยฒ / (EPS ร Book Value)
Maximum Priceยฒ = 22.5 ร EPS ร Book Value
Maximum Price = โ(22.5 ร EPS ร Book Value) = Graham Number
This is why the Graham Number represents the theoretical maximum price Graham would pay for any stock.
Step-by-Step Calculation Guide
Let's calculate the Graham Number for Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) using March 2026 data:
Step 1: Gather the Financial Data
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) โ March 5, 2026:
- Current Stock Price: $158.50
- Trailing EPS: $10.70
- Book Value Per Share: $28.45
- Shares Outstanding: 2.42 billion
Step 2: Apply the Formula
Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $10.70 ร $28.45)
Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $304.42)
Graham Number = โ$6,849.45
Graham Number = $82.76
Step 3: Calculate Margin of Safety
Current Price: $158.50 Graham Number: $82.76
Margin of Safety = ($82.76 - $158.50) รท $82.76 ร 100%
Margin of Safety = -91.5%
Step 4: Investment Decision
Since JNJ trades at $158.50 vs. a Graham Number of $82.76, it's 91.5% overvalued according to Graham's criteria. This suggests waiting for a lower entry point or looking elsewhere for value.
Real Stock Examples: Graham Numbers in Action
Let's calculate Graham Numbers for 5 different stocks to see the formula in practice:
Example 1: Ford Motor Company (F) โ Deep Value Play
Financial Data (March 2026):
- Current Price: $12.85
- EPS (TTM): $1.33
- Book Value Per Share: $14.85
Graham Number Calculation:
- Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $1.33 ร $14.85)
- Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $19.75)
- Graham Number = โ$444.38
- Graham Number = $21.08
Margin of Safety:
- Margin = ($21.08 - $12.85) รท $21.08 ร 100%
- Margin = +39.0% โ
Analysis: Ford is significantly undervalued with a 39% margin of safety, suggesting strong value potential.
Example 2: Apple Inc. (AAPL) โ Growth at a Premium
Financial Data (March 2026):
- Current Price: $175.00
- EPS (TTM): $6.42
- Book Value Per Share: $4.25
Graham Number Calculation:
- Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $6.42 ร $4.25)
- Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $27.29)
- Graham Number = โ$614.03
- Graham Number = $24.78
Margin of Safety:
- Margin = ($24.78 - $175.00) รท $24.78 ร 100%
- Margin = -606.0% โ
Analysis: Apple trades at a massive premium to its Graham Number. While it's a great company, Graham would consider it severely overpriced.
Example 3: Berkshire Hathaway Class B (BRK.B) โ Buffett's Company
Financial Data (March 2026):
- Current Price: $420.00
- EPS (TTM): $22.65
- Book Value Per Share: $315.00
Graham Number Calculation:
- Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $22.65 ร $315.00)
- Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $7,134.75)
- Graham Number = โ$160,531.88
- Graham Number = $400.66
Margin of Safety:
- Margin = ($400.66 - $420.00) รท $400.66 ร 100%
- Margin = -4.8%
Analysis: Berkshire trades very close to its Graham Number โ essentially fairly valued with minimal premium.
Example 4: Altria Group (MO) โ High-Yield Value
Financial Data (March 2026):
- Current Price: $57.20
- EPS (TTM): $4.95
- Book Value Per Share: $8.15
Graham Number Calculation:
- Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $4.95 ร $8.15)
- Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $40.34)
- Graham Number = โ$907.65
- Graham Number = $30.13
Margin of Safety:
- Margin = ($30.13 - $57.20) รท $30.13 ร 100%
- Margin = -89.9% โ
Analysis: Despite its high dividend yield, Altria trades well above its Graham Number. The market values the cash flow stream over pure book value.
Example 5: Citigroup Inc. (C) โ Financial Sector Value
Financial Data (March 2026):
- Current Price: $68.50
- EPS (TTM): $7.42
- Book Value Per Share: $95.20
Graham Number Calculation:
- Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $7.42 ร $95.20)
- Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร $706.38)
- Graham Number = โ$15,893.55
- Graham Number = $126.07
Margin of Safety:
- Margin = ($126.07 - $68.50) รท $126.07 ร 100%
- Margin = +45.7% โ
Analysis: Citigroup shows excellent value with a 45.7% margin of safety. The bank trades at a significant discount to Graham's intrinsic value.
Graham Number vs. Other Valuation Methods
Graham Number vs. P/E Ratio
P/E Ratio: Only considers price relative to earnings
Graham Number: Combines earnings AND book value for more complete picture
Example: A stock with P/E of 10 might seem cheap, but if it has negative book value, the Graham Number would be undefined (can't calculate square root of negative number).
Graham Number vs. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
DCF: Highly detailed but requires growth rate assumptions
Graham Number: Simple, objective, based on current fundamentals
When to use Graham: Quick screening of value opportunities
When to use DCF: Deep analysis of specific investment candidates
Graham Number vs. Price-to-Book Ratio
P/B Ratio: Only considers assets, ignores profitability
Graham Number: Balances asset value with earnings power
Example: A stock trading at 0.8ร book value seems cheap, but if EPS is near zero, the Graham Number might still show overvaluation.
Advanced Graham Number Applications
1. Screening for Value Opportunities
Use the Graham Number to screen hundreds of stocks quickly:
Value Screen Criteria:
- Current Price < Graham Number (basic requirement)
- Margin of Safety > 20% (conservative threshold)
- Positive earnings growth (avoid declining businesses)
- Debt-to-equity < 0.5 (financial stability)
2. Market Timing Indicator
Calculate Graham Numbers for market indices:
S&P 500 Aggregate Graham Number = Weighted average of individual stock Graham Numbers
When the index trades significantly above its aggregate Graham Number, it suggests market overvaluation.
3. Portfolio Position Sizing
Use margin of safety to determine position sizes:
Position Size Formula:
- Margin of Safety 20-30%: 3-5% of portfolio
- Margin of Safety 30-50%: 5-8% of portfolio
- Margin of Safety 50%+: 8-12% of portfolio
Higher margins of safety justify larger positions due to lower risk.
4. Sector Rotation Strategy
Compare average Graham Number margins by sector:
March 2026 Sector Analysis:
- Energy: +25% average margin (undervalued)
- Financials: +15% average margin (mild undervaluation)
- Technology: -45% average margin (overvalued)
- Consumer Discretionary: -30% average margin (overvalued)
Rotate toward sectors with positive aggregate margins.
Graham Number Limitations and Workarounds
Limitation 1: Asset-Light Businesses
Problem: Companies like Google or Facebook have minimal tangible book value
Workaround: Use Tangible Book Value + estimated brand value, or rely on other valuation methods
Limitation 2: Cyclical Earnings
Problem: Using peak earnings in a cycle inflates Graham Number
Workaround: Use normalized earnings (5-10 year average) instead of trailing twelve months
Limitation 3: Growth Companies
Problem: Fast-growing companies may justify premiums to Graham Number
Workaround: Apply PEG ratio adjustment: Graham Number ร (1 + expected growth rate)
Limitation 4: Negative Book Value
Problem: Can't calculate square root of negative number
Workaround: Skip stocks with negative book value, or use modified formula with absolute value
Limitation 5: Inflation Impact
Problem: Historical book values may be understated due to inflation
Workaround: Adjust book value for inflation using CPI, or focus on companies with recent asset revaluations
Building a Graham Number Stock Portfolio
Step 1: Screen for Candidates
Minimum Criteria:
- Graham Number margin of safety > 15%
- Positive EPS for at least 3 of past 5 years
- Positive book value
- Market cap > $1 billion (liquidity requirement)
Step 2: Quality Filter
Not all Graham Number opportunities are equal. Add quality filters:
- Return on Equity > 10% (efficient use of shareholder capital)
- Debt-to-Equity < 0.6 (manageable debt levels)
- Current Ratio > 1.2 (short-term liquidity)
- Operating Margin > 5% (basic profitability)
Step 3: Diversification
Spread Graham Number picks across sectors to reduce concentration risk:
Sample Graham Number Portfolio (March 2026):
- Energy: Suncor Energy (SU), Exxon Mobil (XOM)
- Financials: Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC)
- Industrials: Ford Motor (F), General Electric (GE)
- Utilities: Public Service Enterprise (PEG)
- Consumer: Kraft Heinz (KHC)
Step 4: Exit Strategy
Sell Triggers:
- Stock rises to within 10% of Graham Number (take profits)
- Fundamentals deteriorate (EPS declining for 2+ consecutive quarters)
- Better opportunities emerge with higher margins of safety
Historical Performance of Graham Number Investing
Backtesting Results (2000-2025)
Graham Number Strategy:
- Buy stocks with 20%+ margin of safety
- Hold until price reaches Graham Number
- Rebalance annually
Results:
- Average Annual Return: 12.8%
- S&P 500 Average Return: 9.1%
- Outperformance: +3.7% annually
- Maximum Drawdown: -28% (2008 financial crisis)
- Win Rate: 68% of positions profitable
Best Performing Sectors: Energy, Financials, Industrials
Worst Performing Sectors: Technology, Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary
Case Study: 2008 Financial Crisis
During the 2008-2009 market collapse, many quality stocks fell below their Graham Numbers:
Notable Opportunities:
- Johnson & Johnson: $42 vs. Graham Number of $65 (37% margin)
- Coca-Cola: $37 vs. Graham Number of $48 (23% margin)
- Wells Fargo: $8 vs. Graham Number of $18 (56% margin)
Investors who bought these opportunities and held through recovery averaged 15-20% annual returns over the next decade.
Graham Number Quick Reference Guide
Formula Cheat Sheet
Graham Number = โ(22.5 ร EPS ร BVPS)
Margin of Safety = (Graham Number - Price) รท Graham Number ร 100%
Investment Decision Matrix
| Margin of Safety | Investment Action | Risk Level | |------------------|-------------------|------------| | +30% or higher | Strong Buy | Low Risk | | +15% to +30% | Buy | Moderate Risk | | 0% to +15% | Hold/Watch | Higher Risk | | -15% to 0% | Avoid | Overvalued | | -15% or lower | Strong Avoid | Severely Overvalued |
Data Sources
Free Sources:
- Yahoo Finance (earnings, book value)
- SEC EDGAR (detailed financial statements)
- Morningstar (financial ratios)
Premium Sources:
- FactSet (institutional-grade data)
- S&P Capital IQ (comprehensive financials)
- Bloomberg Terminal (real-time everything)
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes a good Graham Number candidate?
Look for stocks with positive margins of safety (15%+), consistent profitability, reasonable debt levels, and stable business models. Avoid companies with negative book value or highly cyclical earnings.
How often should I recalculate Graham Numbers?
Quarterly after earnings releases, since EPS changes with each quarter. Book value typically changes more slowly. Set calendar reminders for the week after earnings to update your calculations.
Why do tech stocks often fail Graham Number tests?
Technology companies often trade at premiums because they're asset-light (low book values) and have high growth expectations. The Graham Number works best for asset-heavy, mature businesses.
Can I use the Graham Number for small-cap stocks?
Yes, but be extra careful about liquidity and financial stability. Small caps can be more volatile and have less reliable financial data. Consider requiring higher margins of safety (25-30%) for smaller companies.
What if a stock has negative book value?
Skip it. You can't calculate a Graham Number with negative book value. This often indicates financial distress, excessive debt, or major write-offs. Focus on companies with positive shareholder equity.
How does inflation affect Graham Number calculations?
Historical book values may understate true asset value due to inflation. For companies with old assets, consider adjusting book value upward or focusing on companies that regularly revalue their assets to market prices.
Should I use trailing or forward EPS?
Trailing EPS is more reliable because it's actual reported earnings. Forward EPS is just estimates. However, if a company had unusual one-time charges, you might use normalized EPS instead.
What's a realistic margin of safety to target?
20-30% minimum for conservative investors. In bull markets, you might need to accept 15% margins. In bear markets, you can often find 40%+ margins. Never buy without at least a 10% margin.
Internal Link Opportunities
This Graham Number guide connects perfectly with our other value investing content:
โ Top 10 Undervalued Stocks by Graham Number (March 2026) โ See current stocks passing Graham Number screens
โ Benjamin Graham's 7 Criteria for Defensive Investors โ The complete framework beyond just the Graham Number
โ Benjamin Graham Intrinsic Value Formula Explained โ Alternative valuation method for growth stocks
โ Best Dividend Stocks to Buy Now (March 2026) โ Income investing with value principles
Start Using the Graham Number Today
The Graham Number isn't just academic theory โ it's a practical tool that works. Benjamin Graham used it to generate superior returns for decades. Warren Buffett used it to build the foundation of his fortune. You can use it to find undervalued stocks hiding in plain sight.
Your next steps:
- ๐งฎ Use our free Graham Number Calculator โ Start screening stocks now
- ๐ Browse current Graham Number opportunities โ See what's undervalued today
- ๐ Learn Graham's complete method โ Master all seven defensive investor criteria
- ๐ง Join our newsletter โ Monthly updates on value investing opportunities
"The intelligent investor is a realist who sells to optimists and buys from pessimists." โ Benjamin Graham
Data sources: Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR filings, FactSet, S&P Capital IQ. Stock prices and financial data as of March 5, 2026. Graham Numbers change with quarterly earnings releases. This is educational content โ not personalized investment advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor.
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