Dividend Safety Scorecard
Enter a ticker to get an instant dividend safety analysis across 6 key metrics β payout ratio, debt, growth, earnings stability, coverage, and sector comparison.
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What Is a Dividend Safety Score?
A dividend cut is one of the most damaging events for income investors β it destroys income and typically triggers a sharp stock price decline. The goal of a dividend safety scorecard is to identify these risks before a cut happens.
This tool evaluates six independent metrics β payout ratio, debt load, dividend growth consistency, earnings stability, coverage ratio, and sector yield comparison β and synthesizes them into an overall cut risk score. No single metric tells the whole story, but together they paint a reliable picture.
The 6 Metrics Explained
Payout Ratio
What percentage of earnings are being paid out as dividends? A 40% payout ratio means the company can cut earnings in half and still pay the dividend. A 90% ratio leaves almost no margin for error. Green: β€55%, Yellow: 56β75%, Red: >75% (REITs/utilities have higher thresholds).
Debt-to-Equity
High debt means high interest expense β and in a rising rate environment, that crowds out dividends. Companies that borrow to pay dividends are at serious risk. Green: β€0.5x, Yellow: 0.5β1.5x, Red: >1.5x.
Dividend Growth Trend
Has the company consistently raised its dividend? Consecutive increases signal management confidence and financial health. We track 5 years of dividend history and calculate the CAGR. Green: 4+ of 4 increases, Yellow: 2β3 of 4, Red: 0β1 of 4.
Earnings Stability
Coefficient of variation (CV) measures earnings volatility relative to average earnings. High CV means income is unpredictable β making dividend sustainability less reliable. Green: CV β€20%, Yellow: 20β40%, Red: >40%.
Coverage Ratio
EPS Γ· DPS. How many times does EPS cover the dividend? A 2x coverage ratio means earnings would need to fall 50% before the dividend is at risk. Green: β₯2.0x, Yellow: 1.2β2.0x, Red: <1.2x. Note: REITs use FFO, not EPS.
Sector Yield Comparison
Is the yield elevated vs sector peers? Significantly above-average yields can signal either an attractive opportunity or a market warning signal ("yield trap"). Context matters β we compare to sector averages rather than applying one-size-fits-all thresholds.
Score Legend
| Score | Meaning | Action |
|---|---|---|
| π’ Low Risk | Most or all metrics are healthy. Dividend appears well-supported. | Hold with confidence. Still monitor earnings. |
| π‘ Moderate Risk | Mixed signals. Dividend likely sustainable in normal conditions. | Monitor closely. Review before adding more. |
| π΄ High Risk | Multiple red flags. Dividend may not be sustainable. | Consider reducing position. Research recent earnings. |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often is this data updated?βΌ
Why does Realty Income (O) show low EPS coverage?βΌ
Does a high yield always mean a risky dividend?βΌ
Can I rely on this to decide whether to buy a stock?βΌ
My ticker isn't in the database. What do I do?βΌ
β οΈ Educational Disclaimer: The Dividend Safety Scorecard is an educational tool providing estimated scores based on publicly available financial data. Scores are not investment advice, do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for investment decisions. Dividend safety scores are estimates only β actual dividend sustainability depends on future financial performance, management decisions, macroeconomic conditions, and other factors not captured here. Past dividend history does not guarantee future payments. Always consult a qualified financial advisor and conduct independent research before investing. Data is updated periodically and may not reflect the most recent earnings, dividend declarations, or material company changes.