What is the Estimated Fair Value of CAT?

Our Estimated Fair Value for CATERPILLAR INC (CAT) is $193.72, with a 95% range of $193.72 to $193.72. The market price as of 2026-08-13 was $855.60.

Ticker

CATCATERPILLAR INC

Q: How does our model classify CAT today?

Model classification: Above Fair Value. Today's completed-day market price is at or above our Estimated Fair Value. As of 2026-08-13, filings through 2026-08-13.

Q: What is the Safe Price for CAT?

At 90% confidence, our Safe Price for CAT is $8.96. We recheck this valuation when a new SEC filing lands, when market price crosses our Safe Price, or when the safe horizon expires — whichever comes first.

Model classification:

Above Fair Value

Today's completed-day market price is at or above our Estimated Fair Value.

Valuation of Aug 13, 2026filings through Aug 13, 2026price completed-day Aug 13, 2026Data freshness: Current

The value spine

Market price Aug 13, 2026

$855.60

Upside to Fair Value: −77.4%; Market Price vs. Estimated Fair Value.
Discount to Safe Price: −99.0%; Market Price vs. Safe Price (90%).

Safe Price strictness

Chosen tier: Recommended Safe Price — our default

80%85%90%Recommended 95%

Higher confidence = lower Safe Price = thicker margin of safety. 90% is our default. The app shows all four tiers, side by side, live.

When we recheck

We recheck this valuation when a new SEC filing lands, when market price crosses our Safe Price, or when the safe horizon expires — whichever comes first.

This valuation is a dated snapshot. The app recomputes it the minute the next filing lands — for any U.S. filer, on demand, with revaluation alerts and the full Safe Price ladder.

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Model output · Education, not advice. Read the full disclaimer