Track Record
The full directional log
Every directional call we have posted publicly, once it is more than seven days old — winners and losers, in one place. We do not silently delete the calls that did not work. A positive gap closure means later price action moved toward our estimated fair value; a negative one, or a broken thesis, means it did not.
No calls yet — first published: August 23, 2026
The track-record log fills as our first directional posts age past their seven-day observation window. As soon as a call is old enough to score, it lands here — winner or loser, no cherry-picking.
How we score
- A directional post is only scored once it is at least seven days old — that is the minimum window for later price action to have had a chance to move toward or away from our estimated fair value.
- Gap closure is the share of the distance from post price to our estimated fair value that later price action has traveled. Positive means price moved in the direction the call implied; negative means it moved against.
- A thesis is broken when a later filing pulls our action to the strict opposite of the original call.
- We do not delete losers. Any directional post older than seven days that ever appeared on our feed appears in this log.
Not investment advice. Educational research based on public SEC filings. See methodology and full disclosures.