MSFT · MICROSOFT CORP
Model classification: Above Fair Value
Today's completed-day market price is at or above our Estimated Fair Value.
Market Price
$492.43
Aug 13, 2026
Estimated Fair Value
$188.63
95% range $64.78 – $336.53
Safe Price (90%)
$147.08
Through next 1 filing
The numbers
Gap to Fair Value
$303.80 above
−61.7%
Gap to Safe Price
$345.35 above
−70.1%
Based on filings through Aug 13, 2026 · Valuation of Aug 13, 2026
What this means
The market price exceeds the Estimated Fair Value the filings support. The gap between price and value is positive — the market is pricing in more than the filings show.
We recheck this valuation when a new SEC filing lands, when market price crosses our Safe Price, or when the safe horizon expires — whichever comes first.
Model output · Education, not advice. Full disclaimer. Figures are model outputs from public SEC filings, not recommendations.