IndustrialsπŸ”΄ Potentially Overvalued

United Parcel Service Inc.UPS

$102.36β–Ό 29.8% (52w)

Pipeline data updated: March 20, 2026. Prices may not reflect real-time market values.

πŸ“ Graham Intrinsic Value

Current Price
$102.36
Intrinsic Value
$53.11
Overvalued By
92.7%

⚠️ Potentially overvalued β€” trading $49.25 above intrinsic value

How is this calculated? β–Ύ

The Graham Number is √(22.5 Γ— EPS Γ— Book Value per Share). It was developed by Benjamin Graham β€” the father of value investing and Warren Buffett's mentor. A stock trading below its Graham Number has a "margin of safety," meaning you're buying a dollar's worth of value for less than a dollar. The 33% rule of thumb: Graham preferred buying at 2/3 of intrinsic value (a 33% margin of safety).

🏷️ Plain-English Value Verdict

πŸ”΄Potentially Overvalued

Trading 93% above Graham intrinsic value of $53.11. The market is pricing in significant growth or a premium for quality. Be cautious.

⚠️ This is a mathematical estimate, not financial advice. Always do your own research.

πŸ“Š Key Metrics

P/E Ratio
15.6x
What does this mean? β–Ύ

Price-to-Earnings: how much investors pay per dollar of earnings. Lower generally = cheaper. S&P 500 average is ~22x. Below 15x is often considered undervalued; above 30x requires strong growth to justify.

P/B Ratio
5.05x
What does this mean? β–Ύ

Price-to-Book: compares stock price to net asset value. Below 1.0 means you're buying assets for less than their accounting value β€” a classic Graham signal. Above 3–4x suggests the market expects significant intangible value.

Dividend Yield
6.41%
$6.56/share/yr
What does this mean? β–Ύ

Annual dividend payments as a % of stock price. A 4% yield means $4 in annual income per $100 invested. Compare to the 10-yr Treasury yield (~4.5%) as the benchmark for 'worth it' income.

Graham Number
$53.11
What does this mean? β–Ύ

Benjamin Graham's formula: √(22.5 Γ— EPS Γ— Book Value). It estimates fair value. If the current price is below this number, the stock has a 'margin of safety' β€” one of the cornerstones of value investing.

Margin of Safety
-92.7%
What does this mean? β–Ύ

How far below intrinsic value the stock is trading. +30% means the stock is 30% cheaper than its calculated fair value β€” a large cushion against being wrong. Negative = trading above intrinsic value.

Market Cap
$81.9B
What does this mean? β–Ύ

Total market value of all shares. Large-cap ($10B+) = stability. Mid-cap ($2–10B) = growth potential. Small-cap (<$2B) = higher risk/reward. Bigger doesn't always mean better.

πŸ“‹ Detailed Fundamentals

Payout Ratio% of earnings paid as dividends. Under 60% is generally sustainable100.0%
5-Yr Avg Div YieldHistorical context for current yield4.13%
Debt / EquityFinancial leverage. Higher D/E = more debt risk198.0x
SectorIndustrials

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

What is UPS's intrinsic value?β–Ύ
Based on the Graham Number formula (√(22.5 Γ— EPS Γ— Book Value)), UPS's intrinsic value is estimated at $53.11. The current price of $102.36 is above this estimate, suggesting the stock is potentially overvalued by this measure. Note: intrinsic value is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Is UPS overvalued right now?β–Ύ
Potentially Overvalued: Trading 93% above Graham intrinsic value of $53.11. The market is pricing in significant growth or a premium for quality. Be cautious. As of our last pipeline update (March 20, 2026), UPS traded at $102.36. Our Graham Number estimate is $53.11. Markets change daily β€” always check current prices before making investment decisions.
What is UPS's P/E ratio?β–Ύ
UPS's trailing P/E ratio is 15.6x. The S&P 500 historically trades around 15–25x earnings. A P/E in the 15–25x range is near historical norms.
Does UPS pay a dividend?β–Ύ
Yes β€” UPS currently yields 6.41% annually ($6.56 per share). The payout ratio is 100% (higher payout β€” monitor for sustainability). The 5-year average yield is 4.13%, so current yield is above its historical average.
Want Real-Time Data?

View Live UPS Analysis

Current price, analyst targets, FCF, and more β€” pulled live from financial APIs.

Live Data β†’

πŸ”— Related Tools

πŸ” Analyze Other Stocks

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance via pipeline. Last updated: March 20, 2026.

This is not financial advice. Intrinsic value calculations are estimates based on historical data and formulas. Always do your own research before investing.