What is the Estimated Fair Value of PSX?

Our Estimated Fair Value for Phillips 66 (PSX) is $7.11, with a 95% range of $7.11 to $7.11. The market price as of 2025-12-31 was $134.84.

Ticker

PSXPhillips 66

Q: How does our model classify PSX today?

Model classification: Above Fair Value. Today's completed-day market price is at or above our Estimated Fair Value. As of 2025-12-31, filings through 2025-12-31.

Q: What is the Safe Price for PSX?

At 90% confidence, our Safe Price for PSX is $0.35. We recheck this valuation when a new SEC filing lands, when market price crosses our Safe Price, or when the safe horizon expires — whichever comes first.

Model classification:

Above Fair Value

Today's completed-day market price is at or above our Estimated Fair Value.

Valuation of Dec 31, 2025filings through Dec 31, 2025price completed-day Dec 31, 2025Data freshness: Snapshot

The value spine

Market price Dec 31, 2025

$134.84

Upside to Fair Value: −94.7%; Market Price vs. Estimated Fair Value.
Discount to Safe Price: −99.7%; Market Price vs. Safe Price (90%).

Safe Price strictness

Chosen tier: Recommended Safe Price — our default

80%85%90%Recommended 95%

Higher confidence = lower Safe Price = thicker margin of safety. 90% is our default. The app shows all four tiers, side by side, live.

When we recheck

We recheck this valuation when a new SEC filing lands, when market price crosses our Safe Price, or when the safe horizon expires — whichever comes first.

This valuation is a dated snapshot. The app recomputes it the minute the next filing lands — for any U.S. filer, on demand, with revaluation alerts and the full Safe Price ladder.

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Model output · Education, not advice. Read the full disclaimer